03:34 UTC AUGUST 30 2026

DISCUSSION:   THIS EVENING, THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY CONTINUE TO MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. THE WAVE AXIS HAS CLEARED MUCH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS PROGRESSING ACROSS THE VIRGIN ISLANDS, WHILE A BROAD AREA OF MOISTURE AND LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE TRAILS THE SYSTEM. SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW POCKETS OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE REGION, WITH OBSERVATIONS REPORTING PERIODS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SEVERAL ISLANDS.

LOOKING AHEAD TO THE NEXT 24HOURS, FOR TONIGHT, THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL REMAIN CLOSER TO THE MAIN WAVE AND ASSOCIATED INSTABILITY, SUPPORTING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, TRAILING MOISTURE AND CONVERGENCE WILL MAINTAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WITH PERIODIC SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME SHOWERS COULD BECOME MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY, WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR STRONGER CONVECTION. BY MONDAY, THE WAVE WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD AWAY FROM THE AREA. HOWEVER, LINGERING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL MAINTAIN OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND A MODERATE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BEFORE CONDITIONS GRADUALLY IMPROVE AS A RIDGE REBUILDS.

SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED. SMALL CRAFT OPERATORS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.

THIS IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST FORECAST; THEREFORE, NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

PATRICE EDWARDS/BIANCA BESS