AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

02:04 UTC APRIL 28 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUED TO BRING LIGHT TO GENTLE SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING. CLOUDY SKIES WITH LAYER TYPE CLOUDS AND LIGHT RAIN WERE SEEN ACROSS THE BVI AND THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS DRIER CONDITIONS PREVAILED OVER THE OTHER ISLANDS. LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND SLIGHT UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE CREATED THESE CONDITIONS OVER THESE ISLANDS AND THE BAND OF CLOUDS WERE SEEN ON SATELLITE EXTENDING FROM THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO THE NORTHEAST.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR CLOUDY SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA. THE BVI AND SOME OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS MAY EXPERIENCE SOME LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THEN DRIER CONDITIONS WOULD PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. FOR THE SOUTHERN LEEWARDS, A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED AS A RIDGE PATTERN DOMINATES. MEANWHILE SEAS REMAIN AT SAFER LEVELS FOR THE PERIOD.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS