15:16 UTC MARCH 08 2026

DISCUSSION:   INTERMITTENT SHOWERS AND CLOUDY SKIES WERE OBSERVED MAINLY OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS THIS MORNING. A STRONG RIDGE PATTERN WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUED TO DOMINATE ALSO PRODUCING WINDY CONDITIONS OVER ALL THE ISLANDS. MOISTURE WAS CONTAINED TO THE LOW LEVELS AS SEEN ON TPW AND SOUNDINGS AND A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET REMAINED OVER THE AREA. RADAR SHOWED ECHO CLUSTERS MOVING OVER THE LEEWARDS AND FAIRER CONDITIONS WERE SEEN OVER THE VIRGIN ISLANDS.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE LEEWARDS INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON, HOWEVER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL SLIGHTLY DECREASE INTO TONIGHT AND REDUCE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS TO A MODERATE CHANCE. FOR THE BVI HOWEVER, THIS MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA AND INCREASE THEIR SHOWER ACTIVITY SLIGHTLY TONIGHT. LATER MEANWHILE, SWELL HEIGHTS AND PERIODS SEEM TO BE DECREASING FOR THE PERIOD HOWEVER MODELS ARE OVERWHELMED AND ARE NOT PRODUCING ACCURATE DATA. ADDITIONALLY, WINDS WILL STILL CREATE CHOPPY CONDITIONS OVER THE OPEN WATERS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS