AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

02:15 UTC SEPTEMBER 14 2025

 

DISCUSSION:   NOTWITHSTANDING THE LINGERING INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH A RETREATING TROPICAL WAVE, RELATIVELY STABLE CONDITIONS WERE MAINTAINED OVER THE LEEWARDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. OVER THE COURSE OF THE EVENING. LOW LEVEL PATCHES OF CLOUDS WERE OBSERVED OVER THE ISLANDS AND RADAR ECHOES INDICATED THAT MOST OF THESE PATCHES OF CLOUDINESS OR PRECIPITATION REMAINED OVER OPEN WATERS SOUTH OF THE LEEWARDS.

BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE, THESE RELATIVELY STABLE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT TWENTY-FOUR HOURS. HOWEVER, LINGERING INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE MAY GENERATE PERIODS OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST, THEREFORE NO AMENDMENT IS REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

TRECY SPENCER-LAKE