AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:59 UTC OCTOBER 10 2026

 

DISCUSSION: A WEAK WESTWARD-MOVING SURFACE TROUGH, ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASED MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL INSTABILITY, WILL MAINTAIN PARTLY CLOUDY TO CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS FOR THE REST OF TODAY, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.

BASED ON LATEST FORECAST MODELS, TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING LINGERING MOISTURE AND AN APPROACHING MID-TO-UPPER-LEVEL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT CLOUDY SPELLS, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE GRADUALLY TOMORROW MORNING, INSTABILITY AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE WILL MAINTAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWER ACTIVITY.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST, THEREFORE NO AMENDMENTS ARE NECESSARY AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS