AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:58 UTC OCTOBER 31 2026

 

DISCUSSION: A SURFACE-TO-LOW-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS THE DOMINANT FEATURE ACROSS MUCH OF THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER, INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY, ALONG WITH AN APPROACHING TROUGH, ARE SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF CLOUD PATCHES AND PASSING SHOWERS ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS. RADAR OBSERVATIONS INDICATE ECHOES MOVING THROUGH THE AREA.

BASED ON THE LATEST MODEL ANALYSIS, AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS SUGGESTS INCREASINGLY UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEKEND. THEREFORE, PARTLY CLOUDY TO OCCASIONALLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH A MODERATE CHANCE OF SHOWERS ARE ANTICIPATED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING.

 
FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS