AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

14:52 UTC APRIL 07 2026

 

DISCUSSION:   THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS GENERATED EAST-SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WITH DRY CONDITIONS OBSERVED ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. RADAR SHOWED VERY FEW ECHOES SEEN OVER THE ISLANDS. UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR IS ALSO SUPPRESSING SHOWER DEVELOPMENT.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS SIMILAR DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING ACROSS THE AREA FOR THE PERIOD. A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA AND A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FOR THE PERIOD DUE TO THE CONSISTENT RIDGE PATTERN. MEANWHILE SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMPROVING OVER THE OPEN WATERS AND THE ADVISORIES SHOULD END BY TOMORROW.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS