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>TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING STATEMENT
WHCA31 TAPA
TROPICAL STORM JERRY
WARNING STATEMENT
ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES
11:26
PM ECT THU, OCT 9, 2025
THIS IS FOR ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA
...JERRY NOW MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AS IT PASSES BY JUST EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBUDA WHILE A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
AT 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JERRY WAS
LOCATED BY AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH,
LONGITUDE 61.6 WEST OR ABOUT 77 MILES NORTH OF ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA.
JERRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH (28 KM/H) AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL SLOWDOWN ON FRIDAY
FOLLOWED BY A TURN NORTHWARD FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF JERRY WILL PASS JUST EAST OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH (95 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW, BUT SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM) FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AIRCRAFT DROPSONDE DATA IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).
BASED UPON THE LATEST OBSERVATION AND ANALYSIS, TROPICAL STORM JERRY
CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE ISLANDS. CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM COULD SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS. RAINFALL
TOTAL OF UP TO AN INCH IS POSSIBLE WITH THE PASSAGE OF JERRY.
WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SEAS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE ON FRIDAY.
REPEATING THE 11:00 PM ECT POSITION, 18.2 N, 61.6W. MOVEMENT TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH. THE
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB.
THE NEXT UPDATE ON JERRY WILL BE AT 5 AM FRIDAY
FORECASTER
ORVIN PAIGE