AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:09 UTC FEBRUARY 08 2025

 

DISCUSSION: LOW LEVEL PATCHES CONTINUED TO MOVE ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS EVENING BRINGING BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS MAINLY OVER THE OPEN WATERS. THESE PATCHES MOVED ON THE MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE. ECHOES ON RADAR IMAGERY WERE SPOTTY AND CONCENTRATED NORTH OF BARBUDA.

SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG WITH MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS MORE LOW LEVEL PATCHES APPROACHING THE ISLANDS ALONG WITH AN INCREASE IN INSTABILITY IN THE WIND FLOW. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT AN INCREASE IN BRIEF SHOWER ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE DURING THE MID-MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS TOMORROW AT A MODERATE CHANCE. MEANWHILE, HIGH WINDS AND LONG PERIOD SWELLS ARE PRODUCING ELEVATED SEAS, THEREFORE THE HIGH SURF AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE AFFECTED AREAS.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS