AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 15:31 UTC APRIL 17 2025
DISCUSSION:
MOISTURE VALUES ARE HIGHER AROUND THE ISLANDS TODAY. THIS IS BEING
MANIFESTED IN SPOTTY SHOWERS NOTED ON LATEST RADAR IMAGERY. LATEST
MIMIC PRODUCT DOES CONFIRM HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ALBEIT THE
MOISTURE PLUME IS NOW WEST OF THE ISLANDS. THE SHOWERS APPEAR TO BE
CONFINED TO THE LEEWARDS WHILE FOR THE BVI AND ANGUILLAS MORNING
REPORTS DID NOT REPORT ANY SHOWERS. FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: ELEVATED LEVELS OF MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE AREA. WHILE THERE ISN'T ANY NOTABLE WEATHER PRODUCING SYSTEMS IN THE AREA IN THE SHORT TERM, A MODERATE BREEZE COULD STILL PRODUCE BRIEF SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARDS AT TIMES AND MAINLY TONIGHT WHEN MIXING AND HIGHER MOISTURE TOTALS COMBINE. FOR THE BVI, SIMILAR WEATHER IS LIKELY AS A WEAK LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVES JUST NORTH OF THOSE ISLANDS. BASED ON LATEST MODEL OUTPUT, A HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS LIKELY THAN WHAT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SUGGEST.
FORECASTER LENARD JOSIAH
|