15:31 UTC APRIL 17 2025

DISCUSSION:   MOISTURE VALUES ARE HIGHER AROUND THE ISLANDS TODAY. THIS IS BEING MANIFESTED IN SPOTTY SHOWERS NOTED ON LATEST RADAR IMAGERY. LATEST MIMIC PRODUCT DOES CONFIRM HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ALBEIT THE MOISTURE PLUME IS NOW WEST OF THE ISLANDS. THE SHOWERS APPEAR TO BE CONFINED TO THE LEEWARDS WHILE FOR THE BVI AND ANGUILLAS MORNING REPORTS DID NOT REPORT ANY SHOWERS.

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS: ELEVATED LEVELS OF MOISTURE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE AREA. WHILE THERE ISN'T ANY NOTABLE WEATHER PRODUCING SYSTEMS IN THE AREA IN THE SHORT TERM, A MODERATE BREEZE COULD STILL PRODUCE BRIEF SHOWERS OVER THE LEEWARDS AT TIMES AND MAINLY TONIGHT WHEN MIXING AND HIGHER MOISTURE TOTALS COMBINE. FOR THE BVI, SIMILAR WEATHER IS LIKELY AS A WEAK LOW LEVEL TROUGH MOVES JUST NORTH OF THOSE ISLANDS. BASED ON LATEST MODEL OUTPUT, A HIGHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS LIKELY THAN WHAT THE PREVIOUS FORECAST SUGGEST.

FORECASTER

LENARD JOSIAH