| AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 03:15 UTC DECEMBER 11 2025
DISCUSSION:
DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILED THIS EVENING DUE TO A RIDGE
PATTERN DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA. A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW BROUGHT
PATCHES OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS, HOWEVER, SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS
RESTRICTED DUE TO DRY MID LEVELS AND SUBSIDENCE. RADAR SHOWED LITTLE TO
NO ECHOES ACROSS THE ISLANDS. MODEL
GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF THE
PERIOD. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS WOULD REMAIN MODERATE AT MOST DUE TO
ELEVATED WINDS BRINGING LOW LEVEL PATCHES OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE
EXISTING RIDGE PATTERN, DRIER AIR AND UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVELS, WOULD
KEEP SHOWERS BRIEF. MEANWHILE, LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT COASTLINES FOR THE PERIOD, THEREFORE A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL
REMAIN IN EFFECT. THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED.
FORECASTER LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS
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