AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 14:57 UTC SEPTEMBER 29 2023
DISCUSSION:
PERIODS OF SHOWER ACTIVITY WERE OBSERVED ACROSS THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND
THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS THIS MORNING. THIS WAS ASSOCIATED WITH
MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE. THIS WAS
EVIDENT BY THE SPOTTY ECHOES AND PATCHES OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS OBSERVED
ON RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY. ADDITIONALLY, A WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT
PRODUCED LIGHTER NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE AREA. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT LIFT PROVIDED BY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND A FURTHER INCREASE IN MOISTURE COULD INCREASE THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND EVEN SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW MORNING. MEANWHILE,
SEAS REMAIN ELEVATED AS SWELLS OF UP TO 7 FEET CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN COASTS OF THE LEEWARD AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
DUE TO THE PROXIMITY OF TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE. THIS IS IN AGRREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
FORECASTER LORNE SALMON/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS
|