AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:15 UTC DECEMBER 11 2025

 

DISCUSSION:   DRIER AND MORE STABLE CONDITIONS PREVAILED THIS EVENING DUE TO A RIDGE PATTERN DEVELOPING OVER THE AREA. A MODERATE TO FRESH WIND FLOW BROUGHT PATCHES OF CLOUDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS, HOWEVER, SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS RESTRICTED DUE TO DRY MID LEVELS AND SUBSIDENCE. RADAR SHOWED LITTLE TO NO ECHOES ACROSS THE ISLANDS.

MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS THAT SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR THE REST OF THE PERIOD. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS WOULD REMAIN MODERATE AT MOST DUE TO ELEVATED WINDS BRINGING LOW LEVEL PATCHES OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER, THE EXISTING RIDGE PATTERN, DRIER AIR AND UNFAVORABLE UPPER LEVELS, WOULD KEEP SHOWERS BRIEF. MEANWHILE, LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT COASTLINES FOR THE PERIOD, THEREFORE A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT.

THIS IS IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST AND NO AMENDMENTS ARE REQUIRED.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS