AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

16:24 UTC NOVEMBER 05 2024

 

DISCUSSION:   THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING TURNED OUT TO BE MORE ON THE SETTLED SIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATED WEATHER CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY SHALLOW CLOUDS WERE OBSERVED. NOTWITHSTANDING, THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING THROUGH THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSHERIC COLUMN AND MODELS SUGGEST THE TROUGH WILL REFLECT ALL THE WAY TO THE 850 MB LEVEL BY TOMORROW. THIS INSTABILITY COUPLED WITH SOME AVAILABLE MOISTURE COULD TRIGGER FEW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.

REGARDING SEAS, BEGINNING TONIGHT, A GRADUAL INCREASE IN THE SEA HEIGHTS IS FORECAST AS SWELLS FROM A MID LATITUDE CYCLONE PROPAGATE INTO THE COASTLINES.

THIS OUTLOOK IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST THEREFORE AN AMENDMENT IS NOT REQUIRED.

 

FORECASTER

LETITIA HUMPHREYS/CHARISSA HUMPHREYS