AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

03:59 UTC AUGUST 15 2022

 

DISCUSSION: ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING, RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED ECHOES MAINLY OVER OPEN WATERS TO AROUND THE ISLANDS. ALTHOUGH, INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE REMAINS ACROSS THE ISLANDS TRAILING THE WAVE, THE SHOWERS DID NOT QUITE MATERIALIZE TO THE EXTENT AS FORECASTED.

BASED ON THE LATEST FORECAST MODELS, THERE REMAINS A SUGGESTION FOR UNSETTLED CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT TO EARLY MORNING AGAIN THIS DEPENDS ON IF THE FORCING MECHANISMS AID THE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY THAT WILL STILL BE PRESENT AROUND THE ISLANDS DURING THIS TIME. WINDS WILL REMAIN CALM TO LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT AND THE ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REBUILD ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND LATEST MODEL PROJECTIONS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECASTS.

 

FORECASTER

JALEEL JACOBS