| AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES 16:59 UTC JULY 25 2017 DISCUSSION: THIS
MORNING, A LOW LEVEL TROUGH SYSTEM CAUSED SOME CLOUDY INTERVALS WITH
SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS WERE AS HIGH AS
10 MM (O.40 IN); HOWEVER, THIS WAS SEEN OVER THE SEA. THE MIMIC
PRECIPITABLE WATER SHOWED RELATIVELY MOIST CONDITIONS WITH TOTALS IN
THE RANGE OF 50 TO 60 MM. MODELS SURVEYED SHOWED A FURTHER INCREASE IN
MOISTURE LEVELS AND INSTABILITY. HENCE, MORE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WITH
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POSSIBLE RAINFALL TOTAL FOR THE
FORECAST PERIOD IS 3 TO 15 MM (0.12 TO 0.60 IN). THE LAST ISSUED
FORECASTS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS, ANALYSES AND
MODEL OUTPUTS. HOWEVER, LOWER WIND SPEEDS ARE LIKELY.
FORECASTER DALE DESTIN/LETITIA HUMPHREYS
|