AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

16:24 UTC OCTOBER 08 2022

 

DISCUSSION:   SATELLITE AND RADAR DETECTED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE ISLANDS THIS MORNING. THE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE IN THE VICINITY OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE ISLANDS IS CONDUCIVE FOR CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS, WHICH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT TWENTY FOUR HOURS. THIS IS GENERALLY CONSISTENT WITH THE LATEST ISSUED FORECAST WITH THE EXCEPTION THAT MODELS SUGGEST A HIGHER LIKELIHOOD FOR SHOWERS THAN THAT IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST.

 

FORECASTER

ORVIN PAIGE