AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
FOR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
ISSUED BY ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES

15:55 UTC MAY 26 2018

 

DISCUSSION  ..BRIGHT AND SUNNY CONDITIONS CONTINUED ACROSS THE LEEWARDS AND BVI THIS MORNING AS A DRY AND STABLE AIRMASS REMAINED ACROSS THE AREA. SATELLITE IMAGERY, RADAR GRAPHICS AND THE MIMIC TPW ARE ALL SHOWING AN AREA OF INCREASED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY APPROACHING THE ISLANDS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH. THE LATEST FORECAST MODEL RUNS INDICATE THAT BY LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING WE COULD SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS WITH THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS INCREASING TO ABOUT 60 PERCENT DURING THAT TIME. SOME SHOWERS COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES.

 

FORECASTER

BERNELL SIMON